Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.003630 0.003806 0.003987 0.004185 0.004396 0.004616 0.004862
2025-02-09 0.003278 0.003539 0.003817 0.004135 0.004492 0.004879 0.005334
2025-02-16 0.003079 0.003390 0.003730 0.004131 0.004593 0.005113 0.005746
2025-02-23 0.002917 0.003260 0.003644 0.004108 0.004656 0.005289 0.006084
2025-03-02 0.002821 0.003196 0.003623 0.004148 0.004785 0.005539 0.006512
2025-03-09 0.002699 0.003092 0.003546 0.004114 0.004816 0.005666 0.006788
2025-03-16 0.002591 0.002997 0.003472 0.004077 0.004838 0.005775 0.007043
2025-03-23 0.002480 0.002892 0.003381 0.004012 0.004817 0.005827 0.007219
2025-03-30 0.002381 0.002799 0.003299 0.003952 0.004797 0.005875 0.007390
2025-04-06 0.002324 0.002753 0.003272 0.003960 0.004863 0.006034 0.007713
2025-04-13 0.002202 0.002622 0.003135 0.003819 0.004727 0.005918 0.007649
2025-04-20 0.002158 0.002587 0.003116 0.003831 0.004792 0.006073 0.007970
2025-04-27 0.002151 0.002601 0.003162 0.003930 0.004980 0.006408 0.008573
2025-05-04 0.002083 0.002533 0.003101 0.003885 0.004970 0.006466 0.008775
2025-05-11 0.002036 0.002492 0.003071 0.003880 0.005015 0.006602 0.009100
2025-05-18 0.001986 0.002444 0.003031 0.003859 0.005034 0.006701 0.009371
2025-05-25 0.001961 0.002429 0.003034 0.003897 0.005137 0.006925 0.009849
2025-06-01 0.001912 0.002379 0.002989 0.003866 0.005139 0.006998 0.010089
2025-06-08 0.001864 0.002331 0.002944 0.003832 0.005134 0.007061 0.010314
2025-06-15 0.001810 0.002272 0.002881 0.003772 0.005089 0.007057 0.010427
2025-06-22 0.001759 0.002217 0.002824 0.003717 0.005048 0.007059 0.010548
2025-06-29 0.001733 0.002194 0.002810 0.003724 0.005101 0.007208 0.010929
2025-07-06 0.001661 0.002107 0.002705 0.003594 0.004941 0.007013 0.010699